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The CFO: from business partner to leader of permanent uncertainty

Pendant de nombreuses années, le rôle du Directeur Administratif et Financier (DAF) a profondément évolué. Longtemps considéré comme le garant des chiffres, responsable de la conformité financière et de la clôture des comptes, il…

Pilotage de l'incertitude en entreprise
Managing uncertainty in business

Over many years, the role of the Chief Financial Officer (CFO) has evolved significantly. Long regarded as the guardian of the numbers, responsible for financial compliance and closing the accounts, the CFO has gradually become a true business partner, involved in the company’s strategic decisions.

But a new transformation is now underway.

Faced with a succession of economic, geopolitical, health, energy and climate crises, companies are discovering that instability is no longer an exceptional interlude. It is becoming a lasting component of their environment.

Sudden inflation, rising raw material costs, pressure on supply chains, rapid changes in interest rates, changing business models and new environmental expectations: executive teams must now make major decisions within ever-shorter timeframes.

In this new context, the CFO is no longer simply the business partner.

The CFO is becoming the leader of uncertainty.

“Recent years have profoundly transformed expectations of finance functions. Faced with uncertainty that has become permanent, their challenge is no longer simply to explain variances after the fact, but to give leaders the ability to simulate, anticipate and rapidly adjust their trajectory,” explains Laurence Yvon, Sales Development Director at Amelkis.

Therefore, the CFO’s role is no longer merely to explain past performance, but to help the organisation understand the possible impacts of the future.

 

From annual forecasting to continuous management

Historically, companies have structured their management around one central exercise: the budget.

Each year, finance teams devoted several months to building a trajectory that would then become the management benchmark for the following twelve months.

This model worked for a long time in relatively predictable environments.

But how can a business be managed using a fixed budget when economic conditions change within a few weeks?
How can the right decisions be made when assumptions used only a few months earlier no longer reflect reality?

Recent years have demonstrated the limitations of overly static management.

Many organisations have had to accelerate their forecasting cycles: moving from an annual budget to quarterly or monthly reforecasts, or even to continuous management.

The issue is no longer simply knowing where the company expected to go.

It is now about quickly understanding where it can go under several possible scenarios.

The CFO thus becomes the conductor of a new financial culture: one of continuous adaptation.

 

Scenarios become a strategic tool

In an uncertain environment, no one can predict the future exactly.

However, the most successful companies are those able to prepare for several possible futures.

That is the whole rationale behind scenario-based management.

What happens if our market slows by 15 %?
What impact will a sustained increase in our costs have?
How can we protect our margin without compromising our investments?
What effect will an acquisition have on our organisation?
Which levers should be activated to protect our cash generation?

These questions, once addressed only occasionally, are now at the heart of finance teams’ day-to-day work.

The ability to rapidly model different assumptions is becoming a competitive advantage.

Because in periods of uncertainty, it is not always the largest companies that succeed best.

It is often those able to understand, decide and act more quickly.

 

Cash and profitability at the heart of management

Every period of pressure is a reminder of a fundamental rule: growth alone is not enough.

The ability to manage financial balances, protect margins and safeguard cash becomes essential.

After several years marked by easy access to financing, the changing economic environment has put these indicators back at the top of executive teams’ priorities.

The CFO then plays a key role.

The CFO must be able to provide a complete view:

  • understand profitability drivers;
  • identify variances;
  • anticipate risks;
  • arbitrate investments;
  • support operational decisions.

This mission requires far more granular analysis.

It is no longer simply a matter of knowing the company’s overall margin, but of understanding precisely which products, customers, activities or geographical areas genuinely create value.

Finance then becomes a true tool for supporting operational decision-making.

 

Connecting finance and business functions: the true role of the business partner

The concept of the business partner is sometimes reduced to the ability to produce dashboards for operational teams.

In reality, it goes much further.

Being a business partner means being able to create an ongoing dialogue between strategy and execution.

The CFO must connect financial data with data from sales, human resources, procurement, production and the supply chain.

Because decisions that influence financial performance do not originate solely in finance.

They are made every day in operations.

However, this collaboration requires one essential condition: sharing the same view of reality.

Too often, organisations still spend more time reconciling different versions of a figure than analysing the decisions that need to be made.

A common reference framework, harmonised processes and reliable data therefore become essential to accelerate management.

 

Artificial intelligence: towards augmented finance

In this new era of continuous management, artificial intelligence represents a major opportunity.

The first step is automation: reducing the time spent on repetitive tasks, improving the reliability of controls and accelerating the production of analyses.

But the real breakthrough will come from the ability to support decision-making.

Automatically identifying unusual trends, detecting weak signals, proposing simulation assumptions or highlighting the main performance levers: these are all developments that will gradually transform the daily work of finance teams.

The CFO will not be replaced by technology.

The CFO will be empowered by it.

Because in a more complex world, value will not lie merely in having more data.

It will lie in knowing which decisions to make with it.

 

The CFO, the company’s strategic co-pilot

The succession of crises has ultimately accelerated a transformation that was already underway.

The Chief Financial Officer is no longer merely the guardian of the past.

The CFO is becoming the person who prepares for the future.

The role is shifting from a control-based approach to an influence-based approach:

  • anticipate rather than observe;
  • simulate rather than endure;
  • guide rather than merely measure.

Companies capable of establishing this new culture of management will have a major advantage: a greater ability to absorb change and seize opportunities.

At Amelkis, we are convinced that the next generation of finance functions will be the one that knows how to connect data, teams and decisions.

Because in an uncertain environment, performance no longer depends solely on the quality of the initial plan.

Above all, it depends on the ability to adapt faster than others.

 

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